Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.212513 0.245927 0.282849 0.326676 0.377284 0.433899 0.502061
2025-09-21 0.156499 0.200369 0.253874 0.323937 0.413307 0.523572 0.670112
2025-09-28 0.128495 0.176467 0.239120 0.326947 0.446982 0.605484 0.831069
2025-10-05 0.114011 0.165798 0.237316 0.343303 0.496548 0.710418 1.032308
2025-10-12 0.101694 0.155406 0.233255 0.354324 0.538123 0.807230 1.232357
2025-10-19 0.091383 0.145987 0.228628 0.362814 0.575615 0.900832 1.437360
2025-10-26 0.081833 0.136142 0.221647 0.366063 0.604401 0.983187 1.633327
2025-11-02 0.072424 0.125102 0.211130 0.361834 0.619904 1.045191 1.802417
2025-11-09 0.063160 0.113005 0.197243 0.349944 0.620631 1.082102 1.932457
2025-11-16 0.058552 0.108291 0.195105 0.357628 0.655260 1.179142 2.176240
2025-11-23 0.053696 0.102485 0.190287 0.359765 0.679875 1.260668 2.400553
2025-11-30 0.049920 0.098178 0.187595 0.365292 0.710954 1.356481 2.661021
2025-12-07 0.044805 0.090801 0.178546 0.358081 0.717750 1.409107 2.847744
2025-12-14 0.040777 0.085086 0.172050 0.355108 0.732499 1.478602 3.076027
2025-12-21 0.037895 0.081325 0.168918 0.358406 0.759967 1.575593 3.370351
2025-12-28 0.036749 0.081027 0.172712 0.376334 0.819455 1.743217 3.830266
2026-01-04 0.035120 0.079489 0.173727 0.388414 0.867764 1.892514 4.267575
2026-01-11 0.033378 0.077486 0.173508 0.397720 0.910952 2.035213 4.706170
2026-01-18 0.031324 0.074532 0.170872 0.401281 0.941601 2.153559 5.102877
2026-01-25 0.028855 0.070323 0.164963 0.396646 0.952883 2.229624 5.410102
2026-02-01 0.026053 0.064997 0.155918 0.383614 0.942957 2.255985 5.602275
2026-02-08 0.024903 0.063558 0.155818 0.392036 0.985402 2.409049 6.118613
2026-02-15 0.023468 0.061242 0.153363 0.394378 1.013127 2.529676 6.567834